2007年9月28日星期五

3 good news to invest China

A fund called "The ChinaAMC Global Selection Fund" http://www.chinaamc.com/portal/en/include/infordetail_pop_en.jsp?id=1188788639100&type=CMS.STD recruited over 4 billions $US in ONE day on 2007/9/27 from MASS. That's very terrible and scared. This is breaking record, again, in Investment institution firms in the past 50 years I think. The ChinaAMC Global Selection Fund is going to invest 30% of fund, 1.2 bn $US to HK market. Of course, HK market is very excited about this good news. Please image that how many "Global Selection Fund" will be launched and invest in HK. If you don't have any investment related to Greater China, you won't follow the hot money trend. Another question is " Which global companies will be invested by these "China Global Selection Fund", of course, including US and EU companies.

Another News is HK will launch new ETF fund to balance the difference between A and H shares. As most of us know, A is about 2 folds of H price. New ETF will monitor A and H share, and try the best to decrease the difference. What does it mean? H will rise as fast as they can!

The last news is a new IPO in China just launched. Shen Hua Group(HK-1088), the greatest energy company in China, just recruited 66.5 bn RMB A share in Market.And... the most important is investors just got "2% of ratio" to get IPO share. Remember one thing. QFII is just about 10-20 bn US in China, and most part of them are mutual funds now. So that you can calculate how much inner-China money want to join this IPO!

Still good time to invest Greater China.

chinese version

2007年8月12日星期日

Japan is still waiting dawn, But China is very bright

Since I'm very close to these two countries, I could provide some info. Japan is still a down market, but just some good companies are pretty good like TOYOTA and Nintendo. Nintendo is quite good cauz the profit from hot Wii. Comparing its tri-foe in US, Toyota has better and harder financial statement. Or Rakuten ( http:// www.rakuten.co.jp/ ), the critical player in online auction in Japan, is also a good choice. In my point of view, I would buy in unless the Nikke is rising very obviously.

China still got a lot of money-sucker-monsters unlisted. Just like China Tobacco, its revenue and margin are expected to be similar to Microsoft. Remember it just made cigarettes. The retail price of one pack is around 8 US and 30millions of packs are produced daily. Since China got over 1.6-1.7 billions of people(about 0.2-0.3 are not registered). The number is reasonable. A ink print companies is listed just because it prints China Tobacco's pack.

China Tobacco is expected to launch IPO in 2009.It will push up stock market to the new peak. How many cigarette manufactures are not listed? Over 50. And only few wine manufactures are listed Those are what I called money-sucker-monsters. Another industry is travel and leisure. China's public travel agencies serve 100 millions of tourists annually and earn millions of money. At the last, still few "dominant" medical instrument produce more and more annually.

Why China stock market can keep up? Most of big companies are owned by gov right now and are "dominant". So that they can earn very easily. Take China Petroleum & Chemical-h for example, over 50% of 90,000 gas stations in China are owned by it. Dominant and profitable.

That's my reason to invest China but not Japan. I've earned over 60% in 2006 by holding AllianceBernstein Great China fund ( http://www.alliancebernstein.com/investments/us/MutualFundDetail.aspx?cid=18669&ft=f ). It's not the best. You should find some others in your area.